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Thursday, December 19, 2024

Iran: Confrontation or leniency with U.S. after regional setbacks? Nuclear posture updatenote

Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei previously issued a religious fatwa forbidding the pursuit of nuclear weapons.

However, such a fatwa is not immutable and could be revised under certain circumstances.

In the meantime, Tehran reviews its options in dealing with Washington in light of the Syrian developments and the setbacks to its regional proxies in Gaza and Lebanon.

The note provides a comprehensive overview of the following aspects:

- Iranian leadership’s views on changing the nuclear posture

- The scenario under which Iran will do the changes

- Tehran’s stance toward Washington under the upcoming U.S. administration in light of recent regional developments

The note also highlights Iran’s strategy to move forward with “Operation True Promise 3” against Israel.


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