Published Notes and In-Depth Reports
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Iran on U.S. military threats, IRGC and Strait of Hormuznote
March 18, 2025
Summary: U.S. President Donald Trump said on 17/3/2025 that any additional strikes from the Houthis will be seen as a direct attack from Iran and be met with "great force".Beforehand, U.S. National Security Ad...
UAE navigates U.S.-Iran tensions following airstrikes on Houthisnote
March 18, 2025
Summary: The U.S. launched on 15/3/2025 a wave of airstrikes on Houthis across Yemen. UAE President Sheikh Mohammad Bin Zayed (MBZ) addressed the strikes and their implications for the UAE’s mediation efforts ...
U.S. 'Maximum Pressure' on Iran and impact on global oil marketsnote
February 14, 2025
Summary: U.S. President Donald Trump administration's renewed “maximum pressure” campaign on Iran is set to shake global oil markets, with potential consequences for crude exports, geopolitical alliances, and ...
45
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Iran: Fate of Beijing Agreement amid regional setbacksnote
February 07, 2025
Summary: Iran is working to regain its regional influence amid U.S. President Donald Trump’s term, with a particular focus on the evolving dynamics of its relationship with Saudi Arabia and the Beijing Agreeme...
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Iran’s strategy to restore regional influence in Trump’s eranote
February 03, 2025
Summary: Iran is said to be currently focused on restoring some of its regional influence through several strategic actions, amid U.S. President Donald Trump’s term, awaiting the possible reactivation of ...
Iran: Confrontation or leniency with U.S. after regional setbacks? Nuclear posture updatenote
December 19, 2024
Summary: Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei previously issued a religious fatwa forbidding the pursuit of nuclear weapons.However, such a fatwa is not immutable and could be revised under certain circumstance...
U.S.: The lengths Trump would go to counter Iran’s nuclear ambitionsnote
November 27, 2024
Summary: The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) passed a resolution on 21/11/2024 urging Iran to improve cooperation and report on its nuclear activities.In response, Iran condemned the resolution and o...
Saudi CP Mohammad Awaits Trump’s Regional Policy: Crossing fingers and managing expectationsin-depth
November 21, 2024
Summary: Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad Bin Salman (MBS) is finalizing arrangements to deal with the incoming U.S. administration in January 2025.Simultaneously, MBS observes the preparations of U.S. President-el...
80
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Iran’s views on Trump’s victory: Expectations and prioritiesnote
November 14, 2024
Summary: Donald Trump is set to return to the White House following his victory in the U.S. presidential elections.Iran is cautious about Trump’s return, hoping for a shift in his approach.The note provides a ...
Saudi “defense diplomacy” unveiled in General Al-Ruwaili’s visit to Iran, what comes next?note
November 13, 2024
Summary: Chief of Staff of the Saudi Armed Forces General Fayyadh Al-Ruwaili met with his Iranian counterpart Major General Mohammad Bagheri during an official visit to Tehran on 10/11/2024. During his visit, ...
45
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